Description

Measures: Level of a diffusion index based on surveyed purchasing managers in the manufacturing industry;

Why Traders Cares: It's a leading indicator of economic health - businesses react quickly to market conditions, and their purchasing managers hold perhaps the most current and relevant insight into the company's view of the economy;

Notes: Above 50.0 indicates industry expansion, below indicates contraction.

• Actual41.9
• Forecast43
• Previous43.1
• Release5d, 3h ago

Description

Measures: Level of a diffusion index based on surveyed purchasing managers in the services industry;

Why Traders Cares: It's a leading indicator of economic health - businesses react quickly to market conditions, and their purchasing managers hold perhaps the most current and relevant insight into the company's view of the economy;

Notes: Above 50.0 indicates industry expansion, below indicates contraction.

• Actual48.2
• Forecast46.4
• Previous46.9
• Release5d, 3h ago

Description

Measures: Level of a diffusion index based on surveyed purchasing managers in the services industry;

Why Traders Cares: It's a leading indicator of economic health - businesses react quickly to market conditions, and their purchasing managers hold perhaps the most current and relevant insight into the company's view of the economy;

Notes: Above 50.0 indicates industry expansion, below indicates contraction.

• Actual48.2
• Forecast46.4
• Previous46.9
• Release5d, 3h ago

Description

Measures: Level of a diffusion index based on surveyed purchasing managers in the services industry;

Why Traders Cares: It's a leading indicator of economic health - businesses react quickly to market conditions, and their purchasing managers hold perhaps the most current and relevant insight into the company's view of the economy;

Notes: Above 50.0 indicates industry expansion, below indicates contraction.

• Actual51
• Forecast49.2
• Previous49.3
• Release5d, 3h ago

Description

Measures: Level of a diffusion index based on surveyed purchasing managers in the manufacturing industry;

Why Trades Cares: It's a leading indicator of economic health - businesses react quickly to market conditions, and their purchasing managers hold perhaps the most current and relevant insight into the company's view of the economy;

Notes: Above 50.0 indicates industry expansion, below indicates contraction.

• Actual42.5
• Forecast43.8
• Previous43
• Release5d, 3h ago

Description

Measures: Level of a diffusion index based on surveyed purchasing managers in the manufacturing industry;

Why Traders Cares: It's a leading indicator of economic health - businesses react quickly to market conditions, and their purchasing managers hold perhaps the most current and relevant insight into the company's view of the economy;

Notes: Above 50.0 indicates industry expansion, below indicates contraction.

• Actual45.2
• Forecast45
• Previous45.2
• Release5d, 2h ago

Description

Measures: Level of a diffusion index based on surveyed purchasing managers in the manufacturing industry;

Why Traders Cares: It's a leading indicator of economic health - businesses react quickly to market conditions, and their purchasing managers hold perhaps the most current and relevant insight into the company's view of the economy;

Notes: Above 50.0 indicates industry expansion, below indicates contraction. There are 2 versions of this report released about a week apart – Flash and Final. The Flash release, which the source first reported in Nov 2019, is the earliest and thus tends to have the most impact;

• Actual47.3
• Forecast48.1
• Previous48
• Release5d, 2h ago

Description

Measures: Level of a diffusion index based on surveyed purchasing managers in the services industry;

Why Traders Cares:It's a leading indicator of economic health - businesses react quickly to market conditions, and their purchasing managers hold perhaps the most current and relevant insight into the company's view of the economy;

Notes: Above 50.0 indicates industry expansion, below indicates contraction. There are 2 versions of this report released about a week apart – Flash and Final. The Flash release, which the source first reported in Nov 2019, is the earliest and thus tends to have the most impact;

• Actual51.4
• Forecast51
• Previous50.8
• Release5d, 2h ago

Description

Measures: Level of a diffusion index based on surveyed purchasing managers in the services industry;

Why Traders Cares: It's a leading indicator of economic health - businesses react quickly to market conditions, and their purchasing managers hold perhaps the most current and relevant insight into the company's view of the economy;

Notes: Above 50.0 indicates industry expansion, below indicates contraction;

• Actual51.4
• Forecast51
• Previous50.8
• Release5d, 2h ago

Description

Measures: Level of a diffusion index based on surveyed purchasing managers in the manufacturing industry;

Why Traders Cares: It's a leading indicator of economic health - businesses react quickly to market conditions, and their purchasing managers hold perhaps the most current and relevant insight into the company's view of the economy;

Notes: Above 50.0 indicates industry expansion, below indicates contraction;

• Actual47.3
• Forecast48.1
• Previous48
• Release5d, 2h ago

Description

Measures: Level of a diffusion index based on surveyed purchasing managers in the services industry;

Why Traders Cares: It's a leading indicator of economic health - businesses react quickly to market conditions, and their purchasing managers hold perhaps the most current and relevant insight into the company's view of the economy

Notes: Survey of about 650 purchasing managers which asks respondents to rate the relative level of business conditions including employment, production, new orders, prices, supplier deliveries, and inventories;

• Actual58.5
• Forecast55.7
• Previous56.1
• Release4d, 21h ago

Description

Measures: Level of a diffusion index based on surveyed purchasing managers in the services industry

Why Traders Cares: It's a leading indicator of economic health - businesses react quickly to market conditions, and their purchasing managers hold perhaps the most current and relevant insight into the company's view of the economy

Notes: Survey of about 400 purchasing managers which asks respondents to rate the relative level of business conditions including employment, production, new orders, prices, supplier deliveries, and inventories

• Actual48.3
• Forecast49.4
• Previous49.7
• Release4d, 21h ago

Description

Measures: Change in the level of a diffusion index based on surveyed consumers;

Why Traders Cares: Financial confidence is a leading indicator of consumer spending, which accounts for a majority of overall economic activity;

Notes: The impact tends to be mild but varies from month to month due to volatility in the data set;

• Actual-2%
• Forecast
• Previous5.3%
• Release4d, 12h ago

Description

Measures: Change in the price businesses and the government pay for labor, including bonuses;

Why Traders Cares: It's a leading indicator of consumer inflation - when businesses pay more for labor the higher costs are usually passed on to the consumer;

• Actual5.2%
• Forecast5%
• Previous4.8%
• Release4d, 4h ago

Description

Measures: Percentage of total work force that is unemployed and actively seeking employment during the past 3 months;

Why Traders Cares: Although it's generally viewed as a lagging indicator, the number of unemployed people is an important signal of overall economic health because consumer spending is highly correlated with labor-market conditions. Unemployment is also a major consideration for those steering the country's monetary policy;

• Actual4.3%
• Forecast4.3%
• Previous4.3%
• Release4d, 4h ago

Description

Measures: Level of a composite index based on surveyed manufacturers, builders, wholesalers, services, and retailers;

Why Traders Cares: It's a leading indicator of economic health - businesses react quickly to market conditions, and changes in their sentiment can be an early signal of future economic activity such as spending, hiring, and investment;

Notes: This survey is highly respected due to its large sample size and historic correlation with German and wider Eurozone economic conditions. It tends to create a hefty market impact upon release.

• Actual84.7
• Forecast85.6
• Previous85.7
• Release4d, 2h ago

Description

Measures: Level of a diffusion index based on surveyed German institutional investors and analysts;

Why Traders Cares: It's a leading indicator of economic health - investors and analysts are highly informed by virtue of their job, and changes in their sentiment can be an early signal of future economic activity;

Notes: Above 0.0 indicates optimism, below indicates pessimism;

• Actual17
• Forecast12.2
• Previous12.5
• Release4d, 1h ago

Description

Measures: Change in the price of goods and services purchased by consumers;

Why Traders Cares: Consumer prices account for a majority of overall inflation. Inflation is important to currency valuation because rising prices lead the central bank to raise interest rates out of respect for their inflation containment mandate;

Notes: This is the most important inflation-related release due to its earliness and broad scope. This is among the few non-seasonally adjusted numbers reported on the calendar, as it's the calculation most commonly reported;

• Actual0%
• Forecast0%
• Previous0.4%
• Release3d, 22h ago

Description

Measures: Change in the price of goods and services purchased by consumers, excluding the most volatile 40% of items;

Why Traders: Consumer prices account for a majority of overall inflation. Inflation is important to currency valuation because rising prices lead the central bank to raise interest rates out of respect for their inflation containment mandate;

• Actual1.6%
• Forecast
• Previous1.7%
• Release3d, 22h ago

Description

Measures: Change in the total value of sales at the retail level;

Why Traders Cares: it's the primary gauge of consumer spending, which accounts for the majority of overall economic activity;

• Actual0.7%
• Forecast0.5%
• Previous0.8%
• Release3d, 22h ago

Description

Measures: Change in the total value of sales at the retail level, excluding automobiles;

Why Tradres Cares: It's the primary gauge of consumer spending, which accounts for the majority of overall economic activity;

Notes: Automobile sales account for about 20% of Retail Sales, but they tend to be very volatile and distort the underlying trend. The Core data is therefore thought to be a better gauge of spending trends;

• Actual0.2%
• Forecast0.4%
• Previous1%
• Release3d, 22h ago

Description

Measures: Difference in value between imported and exported goods, services, income flows, and unilateral transfers during the previous quarter;

Why Traders Cares: It's directly linked to currency demand - a rising surplus indicates that foreigners are buying more of the domestic currency to execute transactions in the country;

Notes: This is among the few non-seasonally adjusted numbers reported on the calendar, as it's the data most commonly reported. The goods portion has no impact because it's a duplicate of the monthly Trade Balance data;

• Actual-10.581B
• Forecast-10.5B
• Previous-3.825B
• Release3d, 14h ago

Description

Measures: Change in the price of goods and services purchased by consumers;

Why Traders Cares: Consumer prices account for a majority of overall inflation. Inflation is important to currency valuation because rising prices lead the central bank to raise interest rates out of respect for their inflation containment mandate. This is considered the UK's most important inflation data because it's used as the central bank's inflation target;

• Actual2.6%
• Forecast2.6%
• Previous2.3%
• Release3d, 4h ago

Description

Measures: Change in the price of goods and services purchased by consumers;

Why Traders Cares: Consumer prices account for a majority of overall inflation. Inflation is important to currency valuation because rising prices lead the central bank to raise interest rates out of respect for their inflation containment mandate;

• Actual-0.3%
• Forecast-0.3%
• Previous-0.3%
• Release3d, 1h ago

Description

Measures: Change in the price of goods and services purchased by consumers, excluding food, energy, alcohol, and tobacco;

Why Trades Cares: Consumer prices account for a majority of overall inflation. Inflation is important to currency valuation because rising prices lead the central bank to raise interest rates out of respect for their inflation containment mandate;

• Actual2.7%
• Forecast2.7%
• Previous2.8%
• Release3d, 1h ago

Description

Measures: Interest rate at which depository institutions lend balances held at the Federal Reserve to other depository institutions overnight;

Why Traders Care: short term interest rates are the paramount factor in currency valuation - traders look at most other indicators merely to predict how rates will change in the future;

Notes: The rate decision is usually priced into the market, so it tends to be overshadowed by the FOMC Statement, which is focused on the future;

• Actual4.5%
• Forecast4.5%
• Previous4.75%
• Release2d, 16h ago

Description

Measures: Change in the inflation-adjusted value of all goods and services produced by the economy;

Why Traders Cares: It's the broadest measure of economic activity and the primary gauge of the economy's health;

• Actual-1%
• Forecast-0.4%
• Previous0.1%
• Release2d, 14h ago

Description

Measures: Level of a diffusion index based on surveyed manufacturers, builders, retailers, agricultural firms, and service providers;

Why Trades Cares: It's a leading indicator of economic health - businesses react quickly to market conditions, and changes in their sentiment can be an early signal of future economic activity such as spending, hiring, and investment;

Notes: Above 0.0 indicates optimism, below indicates pessimism;

• Actual62.3
• Forecast
• Previous64.9
• Release2d, 11h ago

Description

Measures: Interest rate at which the BOE lends to financial institutions overnight;

Why Traders Cares: Short term interest rates are the paramount factor in currency valuation - traders look at most other indicators merely to predict how rates will change in the future;

Notes: The rate decision is usually priced in the market, so it tends to be overshadowed by the Monetary Policy Summary, which is focused on the future;

• Actual4.75%
• Forecast4.75%
• Previous4.75%
• Release1d, 23h ago

Description

Measures: Annualized change in the value of all goods and services produced by the economy

Why Traders Cares: It's the broadest measure of economic activity and the primary gauge of the economy's health

Notes: GDP Annualized is a gross measure of market activity because it indicates the pace at which a country's economy is growing or decreasing. Generally speaking, a high reading or a better than expected number is seen as positive for the USD, while a low reading is negative.

• Actual3.1%
• Forecast2.8%
• Previous2.8%
• Release1d, 22h ago

Description

Measures: Annualized change in the value of all goods and services produced by the economy;

Why Traders Cares: t's the broadest measure of economic activity and the primary gauge of the economy's health;

Notes: There are 3 versions of GDP released a month apart - Advance, Preliminary, and Final. The Advance release is the earliest and thus tends to have the most impact;

• Actual1.9%
• Forecast1.9%
• Previous1.9%
• Release1d, 22h ago

Description

Measures: Level of a diffusion index based on surveyed manufacturers in Philadelphia;

Why Traders Cares: It's a leading indicator of economic health - businesses react quickly to market conditions, and changes in their sentiment can be an early signal of future economic activity such as spending, hiring, and investment;

Notes: Above 0.0 indicates improving conditions, below indicates worsening conditions;

• Actual-16.4
• Forecast3
• Previous-5.5
• Release1d, 22h ago

Description

Measures: Annualized change in the inflation-adjusted value of all goods and services produced by the economy;

Why Traders Cares: It's the broadest measure of economic activity and the primary gauge of the economy's health;

Notes: There are three versions of GDP released a month apart – Advance, Preliminary, and Final. The Advance release is the earliest and thus tends to have the most impact;

• Actual3.1%
• Forecast2.8%
• Previous2.8%
• Release1d, 22h ago

Description

Measures: The number of individuals who filed for unemployment insurance for the first time during the past week;

Why Traders Cares: Although it's generally viewed as a lagging indicator, the number of unemployed people is an important signal of overall economic health because consumer spending is highly correlated with labor-market conditions. Unemployment is also a major consideration for those steering the country's monetary policy;

• Actual220K
• Forecast230K
• Previous225K
• Release1d, 22h ago

Description

Measures: Difference in value between imported and exported goods during the reported month;

Why Traders Cares: Export demand and currency demand are directly linked because foreigners must buy the domestic currency to pay for the nation's exports. Export demand also impacts production and prices at domestic manufacturers;

Notes: A positive number indicates that more goods were exported than imported;

• Actual-437M
• Forecast-1951M
• Previous-2154M
• Release1d, 14h ago

Description

Measures: Change in total spending facilitated with a credit card;

Why Traders Cares: It's correlated with consumer spending and confidence - rising debt levels are a sign that lenders feel comfortable issuing loans, and that consumers are confident in their financial position and eager to spend money;

• Actual-3.2%
• Forecast
• Previous-3.1%
• Release1d, 9h ago

Description

Measures: Change in the total value of inflation-adjusted sales at the retail level;

Why Traders Cares: It's the primary gauge of consumer spending, which accounts for the majority of overall economic activity;

• Actual0.2%
• Forecast0.5%
• Previous0.1%
• Release1d, 4h ago

Description

Measures: Change in the total value of sales at the retail level, excluding automobiles;

Notes: Automobile sales account for about 20% of Retail Sales, but they tend to be very volatile and distort the underlying trend. The Core data is therefore thought to be a better gauge of spending trends;

• Actual0.1%
• Forecast0.5%
• Previous-0.8%
• Release22h, 22m ago

Description

Measures: Change in the total value of sales at the retail level;

Why Tarders Cares: It's the primary gauge of consumer spending, which accounts for the majority of overall economic activity;

• Actual0.6%
• Forecast0.7%
• Previous0.4%
• Release22h, 22m ago

Description

The Core Personal Consumption Expenditure released by the US Bureau of Economic Analysis is an average amount of money that consumers spend in a month. "Core" excludes seasonally volatile products such as food and energy in order to capture an accurate calculation of the expenditure. It is a significant indicator of inflation. A high reading is bullish for the USD, while a low reading is bearish.

• Actual0.1%
• Forecast0.2%
• Previous0.3%
• Release22h, 22m ago

Description

Measures: Change in the total value of income received from all sources by consumers;

Why Traders Cars: Income is correlated with spending - the more disposable income consumers have, the more likely they are to increase spending;

• Actual0.3%
• Forecast0.4%
• Previous0.6%
• Release22h, 22m ago

Description

Measures: Change in the inflation-adjusted value of all expenditures by consumers;

Why Traders Cares: Consumer spending accounts for a majority of overall economic activity. It's one of the most important gauges of economic health due to the vast ripple effect consumer buying creates in the economy;

• Actual0.4%
• Forecast0.5%
• Previous0.6%
• Release22h, 22m ago